I’m in Europe and this is the only conversation – with all the associated worry.
This virus is wreaking havoc to people’s lives and every 24 hours things we’d never thought we’d see, like needing permission to leave your home, schools closed, airports shut, shopping curtailed and mass unemployment kicking it .
Just taking the schools being closed: Students exams are cancelled, and younger kids are encouraged not to mix other kids in their neighbourhoods and especially avoid visiting their grandparents…. and this is for about 6 months. It is appalling to think of the impact this will have.
The statistics are startling. I am normally a cynic about these ‘scares’ but not on this. Probably it won’t kill or even affect younger healthy people but anyone who gets it might kill someone else – particularly the >60’s with it inadvertently. Older people are ask to cocoon themselves away – somehow- for the foreseeable future. It is predicated in Europe that 70-80% of people will be infected. no reason to think same won’t happen in the USA and elsewhere.
UK: “As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalization,” states the Public Health England.
Clearly, the UK system can not cope with extra 8 million people (pa) seriously ill so in fact the vast majority of these will stay at home critically and without ventilators. I’d guess many will die but let us say 7 out of 8 recover, that leaves a million dead!
Similarly in Germany but the 80% infection rate predicted by Merkil is being contradicted by experts who claim it will only be a fraction of that. All is confusing and even the expects are at sea.
For sure almost every city in Europe is in lockdown, with businesses closed and streets empty. Those not in their home countries are finding it very hard to return home as flights are cancelled and borders closed. This is not a 2-4 week upset but gradually we are being told this could last to the end of 2020 and even beyond. If nothing else this is going to lead to a deep recession the like of which we have never seen since the end of the war.
Your thoughts -where you are, please.
I’ve plenty of time for reading: